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CONVECTIVE WEATHER AVOIDANCE WITH UNCERTAIN WEATHER FORECASTS

机译:与不确定的天气预报对比天气避免

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This paper describes simulations of an automated planning system that routes flights around airspace impacted by forecasted convective weather. If the system predicts that a flight will enter a weather-impacted airspace within a predefined time horizon, it generates a new route. Because the forecasts are uncertain, the system periodically generates, using updates of the weather forecasts and radar tracks, new reroutes. The simulations included convective weather in the northeastern quadrant of the United States over a 24-hr period. Multiple simulations investigated the system performance as the planning horizon and planning frequency varied. As the planning horizon and frequency increased, the system successfully routed more traffic around weather but with more route changes. For a planning horizon of 20 to 120 minutes and a planning frequency of four cycles per hour, the reroutes increased flight time by 3.3% and avoided 79% of the weather-impacted airspaces that were detected. Most flights required one to three reroutes to pass by a weather-impacted airspace, while the worst case flights required six reroutes.
机译:本文介绍了一种自动化规划系统的模拟,该系统在预测对流天气受到预测影响的空域周围的航班。如果系统预测飞行将在预定义的时间范围内进入天气影响的空域,它会产生新的路线。由于预测不确定,系统定期生成,使用天气预报和雷达轨道的更新,新的REROUTES。在24小时内,模拟包括美国东北象限的对流天气。多种仿真调查了系统性能,因为规划地平线和规划频率变化。随着规划地平线和频率的增加,系统成功在天气周围传输了更多的流量,但有更多的路线更改。对于20至120分钟的规划地平线,每小时四个周期的规划频率,REROUTES增加了3.3%的飞行时间,避免了检测到的79%的天气撞击空间。大多数航班需要一到三个REROUTES通过恶劣的空域来通过,而最坏的情况是六个案例飞行六个REROUTES。

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