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Predicting pilot bid behavior with genetic algorithms

机译:用遗传算法预测导频出价行为

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We describe our experiences in building CAPTAINS (Crew Availability Planning and Training System) for the Royal Dutch airline company KLM. CAPTAINS is a complex application that enables a planner to maintain strategic, tactic and operational models of pilot populations. A major problem' in building the short-term planning algorithms for CAPTAINS was prediction of pilot bid behavior. Twice a year pilots may express their preference for new seats (functions) and KLM is obliged to give a new seat to the most senior officer who is qualified. However in some cases the bids are not yet known for the season for which one is planning. If a pilot changes his bid, this can influence the planning substantially, so that a correct prediction of pilot bid behavior has vital importance for a good plan. Using genetic algorithms, we were able to produce rules that predict pilot bid behavior with an acceptable level of accuracy.
机译:我们描述了我们在荷兰皇家航空公司KLM构建船长(船员可用性规划和培训系统)的经验。船长是一个复杂的应用程序,使计划人员能够维持导航群体的战略,战术和运营模式。建立船长短期规划算法的一个主要问题是预测导频出价行为。每年两次飞行员可以表达他们对新席位(职能)的偏好(职能),KLM有义务向最高级官员提供新席位。但是,在某些情况下,投标尚未以人为本的季节所知。如果飞行员改变他的出价,这可以大大影响计划,因此对飞行员出价行为的正确预测对良好的计划具有至关重要的重要性。使用遗传算法,我们能够生产预测导频投标行为的规则,具有可接受的精度水平。

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