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Temporal difference method for multi-step prediction: application to power load forecasting

机译:多步预测的时间差分方法:电力负荷预测的应用

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The authors discuss a power load forecasting system based on a temporal difference (TD) method. The temporal difference method is a class of statistical learning procedure specialized for future prediction. The conventional back propagation (BP) has been successfully applied to power load forecasting in a one-to-one single-step prediction manner. The authors adopt a method which can gradually improve its prediction accuracy through the time evolution. In addition, a modified temporal difference (MTD) method which uses a different error function is evaluated and compared with the original one.
机译:作者讨论了基于时间差异(TD)方法的电力负荷预测系统。时间差异方法是一类专门用于将来预测的统计学习程序。传统的后传播(BP)已成功地应用于以一对一的单步预测方式对电力负载预测。作者采用了一种方法,可以通过时间进化逐步提高其预测精度。此外,评估使用不同误差函数的修改时间差(MTD)方法,并与原始函数进行比较。

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