Simulation of land use change in central Yunnan based on FLUS model

摘要

Land use/land cover change (LUCC) is the most direct manifestation of the interaction between human activities and the natural environment [1]. The simulation of land use/cover change has important practical significance for the intensive use of land and the sustainable and healthy development of the social economy. The FLUS model was constructed by artificial neural network and other methods, and after verifying the accuracy, the land use pattern of central Yunnan in 2025 was simulated and predicted. The results showed that: garden land decreased by 9km^{2(12%), cultivated land decreased by 256km2(1.23%), forest land increased by 290km2(0.37%), construction land increased by 45km2(3.4%); water area decreased by 6.48km2(0.71%), and finally discussed large area New problems exposed in the forecasting process.}