An Analysis and Forecasting of Covid-19 Spread in Tamil Nadu based on Additive Model for Non-Linear Pattern

摘要

Coronavirus2019 has been seen as an overall pandemic and spreads all over India. Tamilnadu is one of the most affected states in India. The study of the spread of this disease is essential to foresee the requirement in improving the health care facilities. A couple of assessments are being driven using distinctive models to foresee the probable progression of this disease. To report the present scenario, the research uses exploratory data processing and uses time series forecasting approaches to estimate the future trend. Here, the spread of the disease is analyzed in Tamil Nadu and employed Prophet Model to forecast the transmission of COVID-19 in the forthcoming months. Results show that the spread of the disease will be gradually reduced and the state will be back to normal in the forthcoming months.