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Risk Assessment Study in the Port Water Area Based on Entropy Weight and Matter-Element Model

机译:基于熵权和物元模型的港口水域风险评估研究

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With the rapid development of China's economy, especially theimplementation of the "Ocean Power" strategy, the number of ships hasincreased rapidly, and the trend of high-speed and large-sized ships isincreasingly evident. The risk assessment of port waters is of greatsignificance to the safety of ship navigation, and can provide referencevalue for the supervision of Maritime department. In order to evaluatethe risk status of different port waters objectively and quantitatively,and to determine its risk level, based on entropy weight method andmatter-element theory, the risk evaluation model of entropy weightmatter-element is established, which overcomes the subjectivity anduncertainty of weight distribution of each risk evaluation index. As anexample, the entropy matter-element model is used to evaluate thewater traffic safety risk in three port waters, the Binzhou port,Dongying port and Weifang port, synthetically considering the naturalenvironment, traffic environment, port condition and security conditionof the three ports. In order to test the objective and quantitativeevaluation results, 30 maritime experts have been invited to score therisk degree of the port according to their own experience. The results ofqualitative and quantitative evaluation are compared to verify theaccuracy and reliability of the evaluation model.
机译:随着中国经济的快速发展,尤其是 实施“海洋大国”战略后,船舶数量有所增加 增长迅速,高速大型船舶的发展趋势是 越来越明显。港口水域的风险评估非常重要 对船舶航行安全具有重要意义,并可以提供参考 对于海事部门的监督价值。为了评估 客观和定量地评估不同港口水域的风险状况, 并根据熵权法确定风险等级 物元理论,熵权风险评估模型 物质元素的建立克服了主观性, 每个风险评估指标的权重分布不确定性。作为一个 例如,使用熵物元模型来评估 滨州港三个港口水域的水上交通安全风险 东营港和潍坊港综合考虑自然 环境,交通环境,港口状况和安全状况 三个端口中的一个。为了检验的客观性和定量性 评估结果,邀请了30名海事专家对得分进行评分 根据自己的经验确定港口的风险程度。结果 对定性和定量评估进行比较,以验证 评估模型的准确性和可靠性。

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