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Field reliability versus predicted reliability: An analysis of rootcauses for the difference

机译:现场可靠性与预测可靠性:根源分析差异的原因

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Thirty-eight reliability experts from the US Department of Defense(DOD) and industry were asked to identify and rank order factors whichpotentially contributed to the difference between actual and predictedreliabilities (referred to as the reliability delta). Total qualitymanagement (TQM) tools were used to analyze the relationships among andimpact of key variances on the reliability prediction process andexplain apparent differences between the DOD and industry perspectives.The literature review identified eleven factors as possible causes ofthe reliability delta; however, only six were noted as being significantby the experts. The six factors identified were: problems with datacollection; assumptions underlying and use of prediction techniques;lack of understanding of the operational environment; problems withmanufacturing processes; short-term management focus; and design-relatedproblems
机译:美国国防部的38位可靠性专家 (DOD)和行业被要求识别和排序哪些订单因素 可能导致实际与预期之间的差异 可靠性(称为可靠性增量)。整体品质 管理(TQM)工具用于分析与之间的关系 关键方差对可靠性预测过程的影响,以及 解释国防部和行业观点之间的明显差异。 文献综述确定了十一种可能的原因 可靠性差;但是,只有六个被认为是重要的 由专家。确定的六个因素是:数据问题 收藏;预测技术的基础假设和使用; 对操作环境缺乏了解;问题 制造过程;短期管理重点;与设计有关 问题

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