Experimental Testing the Regulator Mechanisms of Local Climate Evolution

摘要

A climate system represents a nonlinear system to convert solar energy. So, involving both the bifurcation theory and the control theory into the research concerning regulator mechanisms of local climate evolution can give interesting results. For example, five years ago so-called HDS- hypothesis was proposed, in accordance with which local climate dynamics is determined by natural competition between the amplitude quantization (restricted by the temperature Hysteresis) and the time quantization (caused by the Double Synchronization). The conceptual model of local climate dynamics from this hypothesis (so-called HDS-model) first provided building bifurcation diagrams by processing the data of meteorological observations and also explained the phenomenon of the interannual variability from the bifurcation consequences. Here we discuss the HDS-hypothesis in order to find a way to soften the problem known within the limits of the traditional climatology, namely: how to research evolution of local climate dynamics under the essential scarcity of the data necessary to analysis. We use the electronic setup, mathematical model of which is equivalent to the HDS-model. We focus on complex behaviors when fast alternations of averaged meteorological variables (temperature, pressure, precipitation, and so on) can occur, which are not supposed to consider in the context of the traditional hypothesis on local climate dynamics. We compare the dynamics evolution made by the mathematical modeling with the observations made for both electronic and natural real systems. From the control theory, these results show striking similarity between the HDS- dynamics and local climate dynamics; from the climate theory, these results continue the novel interdisciplinary exploring in the local dynamics evolution.