LONG-TERM FORECAST OF INDUSTRIAL ELECTRICITY DEMAND. A DSO VISION: SCALE REALLY MATTERS !

摘要

Electricity transport and distribution operators will be key drivers of energy transition in many countries (distributedgeneration, electric vehicles...). To cope with these new challenges and related uncertainties, it becomes necessary toanticipate the evolution of electricity demand at the local level. This article proposes a methodology to address thespecific issue of the manufacturing sector, both reliant on local and global conditions. Results highlight the highsensitivity of forecasting at a small geographical scale to the level of sectoral disaggregation.