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Estimating Hourly Water Temperatures in Rivers from Air Temperatures

机译:从气温估算河流每小时的水温

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Water temperature is a critical variable for water quality control and management. Air temperature is often used to estimate stream water temperature by developing regression models. Two direct regression models between hourly water and air temperature were developed for 8 rivers in Alabama and have reasonable model accuracy. The second method using modified sine and sinusoidal wave functions (MSSWF) was then proposed for estimating hourly water temperatures in rivers. The results show significant improvement by using the MSSWF model instead of direct linear and non-linear (logistic) regression models with time lags (4-5 h). Estimates of daily maximum and minimum water temperatures from sine functions were corrected using linear regressions with deviations of estimates of daily maximum and minimum air temperatures from sine functions, and then sinusoidal wave function model was used to estimate hourly water temperatures. Excellent agreement was found between observed and estimated hourly water temperatures using MSSWF models developed for 8 rivers in Alabama with the average Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.94 for the MSSWF models developed for individual rivers.
机译:水温是水质控制和管理的关键变量。空气温度通常用于通过开发回归模型来估计流水温。每小时水和空气温度之间的两个直接回归模型是在阿拉巴马州的8条河流中开发的,具有合理的模型精度。然后提出了使用改进的正弦和正弦波函数(MSSWF)的第二种方法,用于估算河流中的小时水温。结果通过使用MSSWF模型而不是带有时间滞后(4-5小时)的直线线性和非线性(Logistic)回归模型来表现出显着的改进。使用线性回归校正来自正弦功能的日最大和最小水温的估计,具有来自正弦函数的每日最大和最小空气温度的估计,然后正弦波函数模型用于估计每小时水温。使用MSSWF模型在阿拉巴马州开发的MSSWF型号的观察和估计的小时水温之间发现了良好的协议,为单个河流开发的MSSWF型号为0.94的平均NASH-SUTCLIFFE效率。

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