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Constraining Aerosol Health Impacts with Sensitivity Analysis using the CMAQ Adjoint

机译:使用CMAQ伴随项进行敏感性分析来限制气溶胶健康影响

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We used the CMAQ adjoint model in order to estimate sensitivities of mortality attributed to exposure to BC with respect to emissions at a highly resolved spatial and sectoral level of specificity. While a majority of mortalities occur in highly-populated, urban locations, we were able to show that transport from less-populated regions plays an important role. We calculated that, of the 12,583 mortalities attributed to exposure to BC in 2007, 12,177 of those were caused by anthropogenic emissions of BC. We were able to show that many of the major roadways have larger emission percentages than contribution percentages. This suggests that while the transportation sector is responsible for 52.3% of total BC emissions in the U.S., controlling those emissions may not be the most optimal strategy to reduce mortalities on a per unit emission basis. Additionally, we were able to show that contribution percentages are higher than mortality percentage in areas upwind of urban areas.
机译:我们使用CMAQ伴随模型来估算高度分解的空间和部门特异性水平下因暴露于BC而导致的死亡率敏感性。尽管大多数死亡发生在人口稠密的城市地区,但我们能够证明,人口稀少地区的运输起着重要作用。我们计算出,在2007年归因于卑诗省的12,583例死亡中,有12,177例是由人为排放的卑诗省引起的。我们能够证明,许多主要道路的排放百分比都大于贡献百分比。这表明,尽管交通运输部门占美国不列颠哥伦比亚省总排放量的52.3%,但控制这些排放量可能不是降低单位排放死亡率的最佳方法。此外,我们能够证明,城市上风地区的贡献率高于死亡率。

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