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Urban Economy Openness and Real Estate Price Fluctuations: Evidence from 35 Metropolises in China from 1998 to 2012

机译:城市经济开放度与房地产价格波动:1998-2012年中国35个大都市的证据

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This paper compares the average house prices of three regions in China: eastern, middle and western, and shows the regional features are outstanding. To analyze this phenomenon, dynamic long-term panel equilibrium model and short-term change model of house price fluctuations are established from urban economy openness point of view, based on the panel data of 35 metropolises in China from 1998 to 2012, and a mute variable is introduced to analyze the relationship among the real estate prices of different regions and the key determinants affecting the house price fluctuations. The conclusions are as follows: firstly, ripple effect exists in house price fluctuations in diverse areas in China, which shows that western region's house price will rise if it happened in eastern region. Secondly, the key determinants affecting different region's house price fluctuations are different, even the same factor affects different regions to a different degree.
机译:本文比较了中国三个地区(东部,中部和西部)的平均房价,并显示出区域特色突出。为了分析这种现象,基于城市经济开放性的观点,基于1998-2012年中国35个大城市的面板数据,建立了动态​​的长期面板均衡模型和房价波动的短期变化模型。引入变量来分析不同地区房地产价格之间的关系以及影响房价波动的关键因素。结论如下:首先,中国各地区房价波动存在连锁反应,表明西部地区房价如果在东部地区出现上涨。其次,影响不同地区房价波动的关键因素也不同,即使同一因素对不同地区的影响程度也不同。

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