首页> 外文会议>International Commission on Irrigation and Drainage;International congress on irrigation and drainage >ESTIMATION OF IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON IRRIGATION WATER REQUIREMENTS IN KONYA BASIN OF TURKEY
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ESTIMATION OF IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON IRRIGATION WATER REQUIREMENTS IN KONYA BASIN OF TURKEY

机译:土耳其科尼亚盆地气候变化对灌溉水需求的影响估算

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Konya basin of Turkey is the least-precipitated region of Turkey and highly prone to impactsof climate change. The basin has also the highest groundwater irrigations with excessivewithdrawals. Therefore, the present study was conducted to determine the potential impactsof climate change on crop water requirements of different crops commonly cultivated overKonya Basin of Turkey. Long-term (1970-2000) temperature, precipitation, evaporation andrelative humidity data were used to evaluate the impacts of climate change and to generatefuture climate scenarios. RegCM4.3.5 regional climate model developed by The Abdus SalamInternational Centre for Theoretical Physics and RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 emission scenariosof global climate models of MPI-ESM-MR (Max Planck Meteorological Institute), HadGEM2-ES (Hadley Centre) and IPSL-CM5A-LR (French National Meteorology Center) were used tocreate future climate scenarios covering the period of 2015 - 2050. Performance of regionalclimate models for the period of 1970 – 2000 were controlled by using data set of ClimaticResearch Unit-CRU of East Anglia University and the best-fi tting model parameters weredetermined. CROPWAT 8 was employed in combination with created future climate scenarios.IRSIS was used to simulate yield response of the crops under defi cit irrigation conditions(75%, 50% and 25% of full irrigation). Recommendations were provided to mitigate thepossible impacts of future climate change on irrigation.
机译:土耳其的科尼亚盆地是土耳其降水最少的地区,极易受到影响 气候变化。流域的地下水灌溉量也最高,过多。 提款。因此,进行本研究以确定潜在的影响 变化对通常种植的不同农作物的作物需水量的影响 土耳其科尼亚盆地。长期(1970-2000)温度,降水,蒸发和 相对湿度数据用于评估气候变化的影响并产生 未来的气候情景。由Abdus Salam开发的RegCM4.3.5区域气候模型 国际理论物理中心以及RCP 4.5和RCP 8.5排放情景 HadGEM2-MPI-ESM-MR(马克斯·普朗克气象研究所)的全球气候模型 ES(哈德利中心)和IPSL-CM5A-LR(法国国家气象中心)用于 创建涵盖2015年至2050年的未来气候情景。 通过使用Climatic数据集控制了1970-2000年的气候模型 东英吉利大学CRU研究单位和最佳拟合模型参数为 决定。将CROPWAT 8与未来的气候情景结合起来使用。 IRSIS用于模拟常规灌溉条件下农作物的产量响应 (分别为全灌的75%,50%和25%)。提供了一些建议,以减轻 未来气候变化对灌溉的可能影响。

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