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Consideration of Wind Direction on the Reliability of Transmission Tower Systems

机译:风向对输电塔架系统可靠性的考虑

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The application of probabilistic methods and reliability theory to the design and analysis of electric transmission lines has gained recognition among the professionals as it offers a methodology to systematically study the probability of non-performance of these complex structural systems considering the uncertainty associated with all the variables involved in the definition of limit states. Operational experience with transmission lines highlights climatic hazards as one of the principal causes of overhead tower failures. The inherent randomness of climatic variables such as wind direction and speed and of the structural capacities of components has a major effect on the failure probability of transmission towers. The objective of this paper is to develop a reliability model using response surface method to assess the structural reliability of typical overhead towers, considering the randomness of these climatic variables and of the resistance of structural elements. The Response surface method is applied to implicitly determine the limit state function for each component of the tower through repeated structural analysis of the overhead tower under various combinations of climatic events. Therefore, a Visual Basic code is developed to prepare a three dimensional model of a two span transmission line section in the structural analysis software SAP2000. As the approximate limit state function is determined, Monte Carlo simulation can be used efficiently to assess the component and system reliability of the overhead tower since the evaluation of the response surface function requires very little computational effort.
机译:概率方法和可靠性理论在输电线路的设计和分析中的应用赢得了专业人士的认可,因为它提供了一种系统地研究考虑所有变量相关不确定性的复杂结构系统无法发挥作用的可能性的方法参与极限状态的定义。输电线路的运营经验突显出气候危害是架空塔架故障的主要原因之一。气候变量(例如风向和风速)的固有随机性以及部件的结构能力对输电塔的故障概率具有重大影响。本文的目的是在考虑这些气候变量和结构要素抵抗力的随机性的基础上,使用响应面法开发一种可靠性模型,以评估典型高架塔的结构可靠性。通过在各种气候事件组合下对架空塔进行重复的结构分析,将响应面方法应用于塔的每个组件的隐式确定极限状态函数。因此,开发了Visual Basic代码以在结构分析软件SAP2000中准备两跨度传输线段的三维模型。确定近似极限状态函数后,由于对响应面函数的评估需要很少的计算工作,因此可以有效地使用Monte Carlo仿真来评估高架塔的组件和系统可靠性。

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