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Risk Evaluation of Public-Private Partnership Projects of Urban Rail Transit Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method

机译:基于模糊综合评价法的城市轨道交通公私合营项目风险评估

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The limited availability of construction fund has become one of bottlenecks hindering the development of urban rail transit in mainland China. The introduction of Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) model delivering private sector funds to the construction of public infrastructure can effectively alleviate the financial pressure on the government. However, higher practical risks have threatened the successful implementation of PPP projects and highlight the need of risk evaluation for PPP projects. This paper aims to evaluate the risk degree in the whole life cycle of PPP projects by quantitative analysis method. An index system on PPP risk evaluation of urban rail transit was established, covering macro-environmental risks, economic risks, legal risks, construction risks, and operational risks. Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was used to quantitatively evaluate the PPP risks. The case of XXX city was analyzed to demonstrate the use and capabilities of the method. The result shows the PPP risk evaluation method could provide effective decision-making support for risk allocation and control.
机译:建设资金的不足已成为阻碍中国大陆城市轨道交通发展的瓶颈之一。引入将私营部门资金用于公共基础设施建设的公私合营(PPP)模式可以有效缓解政府的财政压力。但是,较高的实际风险已经威胁到PPP项目的成功实施,并突出了对PPP项目进行风险评估的必要性。本文旨在通过定量分析的方法来评估PPP项目整个生命周期中的风险程度。建立了城市轨道交通PPP风险评估指标体系,涵盖宏观环境风险,经济风险,法律风险,建设风险和运营风险。采用模糊综合评价法对PPP风险进行定量评价。分析了XXX市的案例,以证明该方法的用途和功能。结果表明,PPP风险评估方法可以为风险分配和控制提供有效的决策支持。

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