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Risk Evaluation of Public-Private Partnership Projects of Urban Rail Transit Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method

机译:基于模糊综合评价方法的城市轨道交通公私伙伴关系项目风险评估

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The limited availability of construction fund has become one of bottlenecks hindering the development of urban rail transit in mainland China. The introduction of Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) model delivering private sector funds to the construction of public infrastructure can effectively alleviate the financial pressure on the government. However, higher practical risks have threatened the successful implementation of PPP projects and highlight the need of risk evaluation for PPP projects. This paper aims to evaluate the risk degree in the whole life cycle of PPP projects by quantitative analysis method. An index system on PPP risk evaluation of urban rail transit was established, covering macro-environmental risks, economic risks, legal risks, construction risks, and operational risks. Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was used to quantitatively evaluate the PPP risks. The case of XXX city was analyzed to demonstrate the use and capabilities of the method. The result shows the PPP risk evaluation method could provide effective decision-making support for risk allocation and control.
机译:建设基金的有限可用性已成为妨碍中国大陆城市铁路运输发展的瓶颈之一。将私营部门资金提供给公共基础设施建设的公私合作伙伴关系(PPP)模型可以有效缓解政府的财政压力。然而,更高的实际风险威胁到PPP项目的成功实施,并突出了对PPP项目风险评估的需要。本文旨在通过定量分析方法评估PPP项目的整个生命周期的风险程度。建立了城市轨道交通的PPP风险评估指标体系,涵盖了宏观环境风险,经济风险,法律风险,建设风险和运营风险。模糊综合评价方法用于定量评估PPP风险。分析了XXX城市的情况,以证明该方法的使用和能力。结果表明,PPP风险评估方法可以为风险分配和控制提供有效的决策支持。

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