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Prediction of Water Quality Parameters Using An Artificial Neural Networks Model

机译:基于人工神经网络模型的水质参数预测

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Land use and cover (LULC) play crucial roles in driving water quantity and quality processes in watersheds. Often changes in LULC have direct effect on water quality of downstream waters. Therefore, developing relationships between LULC and water quality parameters is essential for the evaluation of surface water resources should the LULC change. In this paper we present a methodology based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) to predict water quality parameters in ungauged basins; Chlorine (Cl), Sulfate (SO_4), Sodium (Na), Potassium (K), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC). The model relies on LULC percentages, temperature, and flow discharge as inputs. The approach is tested on 18 watersheds in west Georgia varying in size from 296 to 2659 ha. Total number of data for each parameter is 801 ranging from 15 to 54 from 18 watersheds. Out of 18 watersheds, 12 were selected for training, 3 for validation and 3 for testing the ANNs model. Each set of validation and testing data consists of 1 forested, 1 pastoral, and 1 urban watershed while training data consist of 7 forested, 3 pastoral, and 2 urban watersheds. The model performance was measured with coefficient of determination (R~2), Nash- Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (E), and bias ratio (R_B)- The model developed using the training data set has successfully predicted the water quality parameters in the independent testing watersheds. The coefficient of determination (R~2) in the test watersheds ranged from 0.64 to 0.99 while E ranged from 0.54 to 0.98. Results from this study indicates that if water quality and LULC data are available from multiple watersheds in an area with relatively similar physiographic properties, then one can successfully predict the impact of LULC changes on water quality in any watershed within the same area.
机译:土地利用和覆盖(LULC)在驱动流域水量和水质过程中起着至关重要的作用。 LULC的变化通常直接影响下游水的水质。因此,如果LULC发生变化,建立LULC和水质参数之间的关系对于评估地表水资源至关重要。在本文中,我们提出了一种基于人工神经网络(ANN)的方法来预测未加高流域的水质参数。氯(Cl),硫酸盐(SO_4),钠(Na),钾(K),溶解的有机碳(DOC)。该模型依赖于LULC百分比,温度和流量排放作为输入。该方法在乔治亚州西部的18个流域上进行了测试,流域的大小从296公顷到2659公顷不等。每个参数的数据总数为801,范围从18个分水岭的15到54。在18个流域中,选择了12个进行分水岭,3个进行了验证,3个进行了ANNs模型的测试。每组验证和测试数据均由1个森林,1个牧区和1个城市流域组成,而训练数据则由7个森林,3个牧区和2个城市流域组成。使用确定系数(R〜2),纳什-萨特克利夫效率系数(E)和偏差比(R_B)测量模型性能-使用训练数据集开发的模型已成功预测了独立测试中的水质参数分水岭。试验分水岭的测定系数(R〜2)在0.64至0.99之间,而E在0.54至0.98之间。这项研究的结果表明,如果可以从生理特征相对相似的区域的多个流域获得水质和LULC数据,则可以成功预测LULC变化对同一区域内任何流域的水质的影响。

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