Poisson Prediction of the Loss of Teachers in High Schools

摘要

It is a key to the sustainable development and stability of colleges and universities education to predict the loss of college teachers. This paper analyzes the historic statistics and applies Chi-square test to do a hypothesis test on the distribution of intervals between two successive teachers' losses. It also sets up prediction models for the loss based on Poisson Process Theory. After some empirical analysis, it draws a conclusion and provides a new approach to forecast the staff turnover in colleges and universities.