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Short-term wave forecasting with AR models in real-time optimal control of wave energy converters

机译:利用AR模型进行波浪能转换器实时最优控制的短期波浪预报

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Time domain control of wave energy converters requires knowledge of future incident wave elevation in order to approach conditions for optimal energy extraction. Autoregressive models revealed to be a promising approach to the prediction of future values of the wave elevation only from its past history. Results on real wave observations from different ocean locations show that AR models allow to achieve very good predictions for more than one wave period in the future if the focus is put on low frequency components, which are the most interesting from a wave energy point of view. For real-time implementation, however, the lowpass filtering introduces an error in the wave time series, as well as a delay, and AR models need to be designed so to be as robust as possible to these errors.
机译:波能转换器的时域控制需要了解将来的入射波高程,以便接近最佳能量提取的条件。自回归模型显示出仅从其过去的历史中预测波高的未来值是一种有前途的方法。来自不同海洋位置的实际波浪观测结果表明,如果将重点放在低频分量上,AR模型可以在未来一个以上的波浪周期中实现非常好的预测,这从波浪能量的角度来看是最有趣的。但是,对于实时实现,低通滤波会在波时间序列中引入误差以及延迟,因此需要设计AR模型,以使其对这些误差尽可能地稳健。

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