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Logit Model for Pre-Warning Financial Distress of Listed Real-Estate Companies in China

机译:中国房地产上市公司预警财务困境的Logit模型

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This paper mainly discusses the study of models for financial distress pre-warning, trying to select general financial indexes by principal component analysis, and meanwhile adding nonfinancial indexes which reflect corporate governance state to complement. Logit Model which is more accurate in prediction is selected, with the 56 company samples including both delisting pre-warned companies and counterparts without financial distress. Old Logit Model with 9 integrative financial indexes and new model with 6 more nonfinancial indexes are respectively built and pass the tests finally. By adding nonfinancial indexes into Logit Model, this paper goes to the conclusion that the new index system was more precise than the old one.
机译:本文主要讨论财务困境预警模型的研究,试图通过主成分分析来选择一般财务指标,并同时添加反映公司治理状况的非财务指标作为补充。选择了预测更准确的Logit模型,对56家公司样本进行了选择,其中包括将预警公司和没有财务困境的同行退市。分别建立了具有9个综合财务指标的旧Logit模型和具有6个以上非财务指标的新模型,并最终通过了测试。通过将非金融指标添加到Logit模型中,得出结论:新指标体系比旧指标体系更精确。

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