Russian-Ukrainian Gas Conflict Case Study

摘要

The following paper examines the ongoing gas conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Europe have become collateral damage, as large part of the natural gas destined for the EU pass through Ukraine. Numerous precursors preceded the crisis; nevertheless, some countries have not taken steps in advance to mitigate consequences. Failing to adopt a wide perspective, both timely and structurally wise, can lead to major crises. This research analyzes the lifecycle of this crisis and focuses on the evolution of crisis' variables. Causal Loop Diagrams are built to represent the structure that possibly originated this crisis. The information gathered here could also be used as an input for future modeling and simulation exercises.