首页> 外文会议>International conference on nuclear engineering;ICONE17 >DEALING WITH EXTERNAL FACTORS IN THE ELECTRICITY GENERATION SECTOR: NUCLEAR VS. OTHER BASELOAD TECHNOLOGIES
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DEALING WITH EXTERNAL FACTORS IN THE ELECTRICITY GENERATION SECTOR: NUCLEAR VS. OTHER BASELOAD TECHNOLOGIES

机译:处理发电行业中的外部因素:核对。其他基本负载技术

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The international literature presents several studies about the economics of Power Plants, however these analyses usually consider only the classical accounts related to Construction, Operation & Maintenance, Fuel and Decommissioning cost. Beside these accounts there are many factors, from now on named External Factors (e.g. social acceptability, Security of Fuel supply, etc.) able to heavily determine the profitability and the feasibility of a certain investment. This paper lists the External Factors and, under this prospective, ranks under different scenarios the following technologies suitable for the base-load: hydro, coal, oil, gas and nuclear. First the paper provides a list of these factors considering the international literature. As second step each factor is analyzed and quantified. Then an overall multi-attribute model, based on the Quality Function Deployment approach, is introduced to obtain a weight for each factor, dividing its impact into three different sustainability dimensions (economic, environmental, social), each weighted according to the investor sensitiveness. Finally the factor weights and their performances are coupled to obtain an overall ranking specific describing the specific environmental coming out by the combination of conditions and investors' strategies.The results show that hydroelectric plants are usually the best solution, however there is a shortage of new sites for the fuerther deployment of these plants, therefore other plants have to be considered to fulfill the energy growth. Coal and Nuclear could be a good choice even if each type of planthas its strengths and weaknesses. Nuclear technology has good performances on "fuel supply and environmental impact factors", but his main weak is on the social acceptability. On the opposite the oil and gas -fired plants are always the worst choice. It is important to highlight that some factors are quantified using historical data (for the nuclear sector related to GEN II reactors). This assumption does not bias the analysis since the progress in nuclear energy is present as well as in other technologies. However is clear from the analysis that the innovative passive reactors could overcome other technologies and become the most suitable choice for the base load generation.
机译:国际文献对发电厂的经济状况进行了一些研究,但是这些分析通常只考虑与建造,运营和维护,燃料和退役成本有关的经典账目。在这些帐户旁边,还有许多因素,从现在起,命名的外部因素(例如,社会可接受性,燃料供应的安全性等)能够在很大程度上确定某项投资的获利能力和可行性。本文列出了外部因素,并在此前景下,在不同情况下对适用于基本负荷的以下技术进行了排名:水力,煤炭,石油,天然气和核能。首先,本文提供了考虑国际文献的这些因素的清单。第二步,对每个因素进行分析和量化。然后,引入基于质量功能部署方法的整体多属性模型,以获取每个因素的权重,将其影响分为三个不同的可持续性维度(经济,环境,社会),每个维度均根据投资者的敏感性进行加权。最后,将因子权重及其绩效结合起来,以获得总体排名,具体描述了通过条件和投资者策略的组合而出现的特定环境。 结果表明,水力发电厂通常是最好的解决方案,但是缺少进一步部署这些发电厂的新地点,因此必须考虑使用其他发电厂来满足能源增长的需要。即使每种类型的电厂,煤炭和核电也可能是一个不错的选择 有其优点和缺点。核技术在“燃料供应和环境影响因素”方面表现良好,但他的主要弱点是在社会接受性上。相反,以石油和天然气为燃料的工厂始终是最糟糕的选择。重要的是要强调,一些因素是使用历史数据(与第二代反应堆有关的核部门)量化的。由于存在核能以及其他技术的进步,因此该假设不会使分析产生偏差。然而,从分析中可以清楚地看到,创新的无源电抗器可以克服其他技术,并成为产生基本负荷的最合适选择。

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