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Predicting mining activity with parallel genetic algorithms

机译:用平行遗传算法预测采矿活动

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We explore several different techniques in our quest to improve the overall model performance of a genetic algorithm calibrated probabilistic cellular automata. We use the Kappa statistic to measure correlation between ground truth data and data predicted by the model. Within the genetic algorithm, we introduce a new evaluation function sensitive to spatial correctness and we explore the idea of evolving different rule parameters for different subregions of the land. We reduce the time required to run a simulation from 6 hours to 10 minutes by parallelizing the code and employing a 10-node cluster. Our empirical results suggest that using the spatially sensitive evaluation function does indeed improve the performance of the model and our preliminary results also show that evolving different rule parameters for different regions tends to improve overall model performance.
机译:我们探讨了我们寻求改善遗传算法校准概率蜂窝自动机的整体模型性能的几种不同技术。我们使用Kappa统计来测量地面真理数据和模型预测的数据之间的相关性。在遗传算法中,我们向空间正确介绍了一个敏感的新评估功能,我们探讨了对土地的不同次区域发展不同的规则参数的想法。通过并行化代码并采用10节点群集,我们减少从6小时运行模拟到10分钟所需的时间。我们的经验结果表明,使用空间敏感的评估功能确实改善了模型的性能,我们的初步结果也表明,不同地区的不同规则参数趋于改善整体模型性能。

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