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Sports Analytics: Predicting Athletic Performance with a Genetic Algorithm

机译:运动分析:使用遗传算法预测运动成绩

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Existing predictive modeling in sports analytics often hinges on atheoretical assumptions winnowed from a large and diverse pool of game metrics. Feature subset selection by way of a genetic algorithm to identify and assess the combinatorial advantage for a group of metrics is a viable option to otherwise arbitrary model construction. However, this approach concedes similar arbitrariness as there is no general strategy or common practice design among the tightly coupled nucleus of genetic operators. The resulting dizzying ecosystem of choice is especially difficult to overcome and leaves a residual uncertainty regarding true strength of output, specifically for practical implementations. This study transposes ideas from extreme environmental change into a quasi-deterministic extension of standard GA functionality that seeks to punctuate converged populations with individuals from auxiliary metas. This strategy has the effect of challenging what might otherwise be considered shallow fitness, thereby promoting greater trust in output against innumerable alternatives.
机译:运动分析中现有的预测模型通常取决于从大量不同的游戏指标池中得出的理论假设。通过遗传算法来识别和评估一组度量标准的组合优势的特征子集选择对于其他方式的任意模型构建是可行的选择。但是,这种方法也具有类似的任意性,因为在遗传算子的紧密耦合的核之间没有通用的策略或通用的实践设计。由此产生的令人眼花choice乱的选择生态系统尤其难以克服,并且在实际输出强度方面留下了不确定性,特别是对于实际实施而言。这项研究将思想从极端的环境变化转变为标准GA功能的准确定性扩展,力求用辅助元数据中的个体将融合的人群打断。这种策略的作用是挑战那些本来可以被认为是浅薄适用性的东西,从而促进了人们对无数替代品的更大信任。

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