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Missing Data as a Causal and Probabilistic Problem

机译:数据丢失是因果关系和概率问题

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Causal inference is often phrased as a missing data problem - for every unit, only the response to observed treatment assignment is known, the response to other treatment assignments is not. In this paper, we extend the converse approach of [7] of representing missing data problems to causal models where only interventions on miss-ingness indicators are allowed. We further use this representation to leverage techniques developed for the problem of identification of causal effects to give a general criterion for cases where a joint distribution containing missing variables can be recovered from data actually observed, given assumptions on missingness mechanisms. This criterion is significantly more general than the commonly used "missing at random" (MAR) criterion, and generalizes past work which also exploits a graphical representation of missing-ness. In fact, the relationship of our criterion to MAR is not unlike the relationship between the ID algorithm for identification of causal effects, and conditional ignorability.
机译:因果推理通常被表述为缺少数据的问题-对于每个单位,只有对观察到的治疗分配的响应是已知的,而对其他治疗分配的响应却不是已知的。在本文中,我们将表示缺失数据问题的[7]的相反方法扩展到因果模型,在因果模型中仅允许干预缺失指标。我们进一步使用这种表示法来利用针对因果关系识别问题而开发的技术,从而为假设缺少机制的假设下可以从实际观察到的数据中恢复包含缺失变量的联合分布的情况提供通用标准。该准则比常用的“随机失踪”(MAR)准则更为通用,并且概括了过去的工作,该工作还利用缺失的图形表示。实际上,我们的标准与MAR的关系与识别因果关系的ID算法与条件可忽略性之间的关系并无不同。

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