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Distributed Minimum Temperature Prediction Using Mixtures of Gaussian Processes

机译:使用高斯过程混合的分布式最低温度预测

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Minimum temperature predictions are required for agricultural producers in order to assess the magnitude of potential frost events. Several regression models can be used for the estimation problem at a single location but one common problem is the amount of required data for training, testing and validation. Nowadays, sensor networks can be used to gather environmental data from multiple locations. In order to alleviate the amount of data needed to model a single site, we can combine information from the different sources and then estimate the performance of the estimator using hold-out test sites. A mixture of Gaussian Processes (MGP) model is proposed for the distributed estimation problem and an efficient Hybrid Monte Carlo approach is also proposed for the estimation of the model parameters.
机译:农业生产者需要最低温度预测,以评估潜在霜冻事件的严重程度。可以将多个回归模型用于单个位置的估计问题,但是一个常见的问题是训练,测试和验证所需的数据量。如今,传感器网络可用于从多个位置收集环境数据。为了减轻为单个站点建模所需的数据量,我们可以合并来自不同来源的信息,然后使用保留测试站点来估计估计器的性能。针对分布估计问题,提出了一种混合的高斯过程(MGP)模型,并且还提出了一种有效的混合蒙特卡洛方法,用于估计模型参数。

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