Transit ridership prediction of Changchun light rail Line 3

摘要

Urban rail transit ridership prediction has some guide meaning to urban rail transit planning and rail transit construction. In this paper, we use four-step method for rail transit ridership prediction. By considering Changchun GDP, land utilization rate, population and other factors, we use regression analysis method to predict trip generation, gravity model to predict trip distribution, logit model for model split and equilibrium model for traffic assignment. Finally, built the bus network model to obtain cross-sectional transit ridership of Changchun light rail line 3.