Reliability Analysis of a Cold Chain Logistics System Based on the Fault Bayesian Network

摘要

The abstract problem of Cold Chain Logistics System fault is crystallized and its Fault Tree is constructed according to operation features of various functional parts and the causal relationship between events in Cold Chain Logistics System by borrowing ideas from reliability analysis in Reliability Engineering Theory. Bayesian network based on the fault tree has been generated, in order to estimate the operation reliability of Cold Chain Logistics System and reveal the main reasons resulting in the system faults. It could provide a quantitative basis for improving the operation reliability of Cold Chain Logistics System. The expected effect has been achieved via applying the method proposed into the operation and management of a Third-party Cold Chain Logistics enterprise.