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Policy implications of new exposure-response evidence

机译:新的暴露-反应证据的政策含义

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Background: Indoor air pollution concentrations in households (HAP) span a wide range from those with open solid fuel combustion, averaging many hundreds of μg/m3 of PM2.5 over the year in poorly ventilated conditions, to relatively clean levels in homes using gas or electric heating and cooking devices. To assess the health risk remaining at each level above the WHO AQGs requires understanding the exposure-response relationships over far greater exposure ranges than are available from any one epidemiological study available today. As part of the GBD Project Comparative Risk Assessment (CRA), a set of integrated exposure-response (IER) functions were developed that link risks across more than three orders of magnitude in exposures from epidemiologic studies of combustion particle exposures from active and secondhand tobacco smoking, outdoor air pollution (OAP), and HAP. These are being considered for informing the development of the IAQGs. Methods: We briefly review the current state of development of the IERs for several important disease endpoints and their potential use in the IAQGs. Results: There have been three major uses of the IERs for informing policy. The main impetus for their development by the OAP CRA was to determine risks at exposure levels higher than available in the OAP epidemiologic studies. The main use by the HAP CRA was to interpolate risks for cardiovascular endpoints for which there is evidence at higher (active smoking) and lower (secondhand smoking/OAP) exposures, but no direct evidence yet for HAP. In addition, it was used to enable risk estimates in comparison to a common low counterfactual for both HAP and OAP. Conclusions: It has been proposed to use lERs to estimate the benefits of alternative interventions at different points along the exposure axis. We explore the potentially counterintuitive implications of doing so that arise because of the highly supralinear shape of most of the lERs and offer some ways forward.
机译:背景:家庭中的室内空气污染浓度范围很广,从开阔的固体燃料燃烧到通风不佳的情况,一年平均平均数百μg/ m3的PM2.5到相对较清洁的天然气家庭水平或电加热和烹饪设备。为了评估仍然高于WHO AQG的每个水平的健康风险,需要了解暴露-反应关系比目前任何一项流行病学研究所能提供的范围要大得多。作为GBD项目比较风险评估(CRA)的一部分,开发了一套综合的暴露-响应(IER)功能,这些功能将流行病和二手烟燃烧颗粒暴露的流行病学研究中超过三个数量级的风险联系在一起吸烟,室外空气污染(OAP)和HAP。正在考虑这些,以为IAQG的发展提供信息。方法:我们简要回顾了一些重要疾病终点的IERs的发展现状及其在IAQG中的潜在用途。结果:IER用于通知政策有三种主要用途。 OAP CRA促进其发展的主要动力是确定暴露水平高于OAP流行病学研究中可获得的暴露水平的风险。 HAP CRA的主要用途是对心血管终点的风险进行插值,因为有证据显示较高(主动吸烟)和较低(二手烟/ OAP)暴露,但尚无直接证据证明HAP。此外,与HAP和OAP的常见事实相反,使用它可以进行风险估计。结论:已建议使用lERs来评估沿暴露轴不同点的替代干预措施的收益。我们探讨了这样做的潜在隐患,这是由于大多数lER的高度超线性形状引起的,并提供了一些前进的方法。

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