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Spatial analysis of the 2010 heat wave on stroke mortality in Nanjing, China

机译:2010年南京卒中死亡率的空间分析

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Background Heat waves have devastating health effects on human populations. Our previous study shows that heat waves had a higher risk for stroke mortality in Nanjing. Despite many studies of mortality risk for heat waves in urban areas, few studies have examined the spatial variations among different regions. Objectives We analyzed the stroke mortality of a heat wave in 2010 in Nanjing, China and investigated the spatial variability of stroke mortality risk between heat wave days and non-heat wave days. Methods Within each town of Nanjing, we calculated the stroke mortality during the heat wave (July 30-August 22, 2010) and a reference period (July 30-August 22, 2009). We estimated the rate ratios (RRs) of urban, suburban, and rural regions. Spatial autocorrelation was used to measure the spatial patterns of heat wave mortality. The Anselin Local Moran's I statistic was applied to identify the statistically significant spatial clusters. Results Stroke mortality in both the heat wave and the reference period were spatially clustered, with the Moran's Index of 0.147 and 0.089. During the reference period, two HH spots(areas with high stroke mortality surrounded by other areas with high stroke mortality) were found in rural regions and the clusters in urban and suburban regions were not significant. During the heat wave, the two hot spots in rural regions remained while an HL spot (areas with high mortality surrounded by other areas with low mortality) was discovered in the suburban region. During the heat wave, the RRs of stroke mortality were 2.25(95%CI,1.03-4.27) in the urban area, 4.14(95%CI,2.77-5.95) in the suburban area, and 1.66(95%CI,1.33-2.05) in the rural area. Conclusions We found that stroke mortality risk from heat waves in Nanjing has clear spatial patterns. During the heat wave, suburban regions have the highest and spatially clustered stroke mortality risk. These findings revealed the importance of the health impact of heat waves in suburban areas.
机译:背景热浪对人类人群具有毁灭性的健康影响。我们以前的研究表明,南京的中风死亡风险具有更高的风险。尽管城市地区中热波的死亡风险许多研究,但很少有研究则检查了不同地区的空间变化。目的我们分析了2010年在南京,中国的热浪冲程死亡率,并调查了热浪日与非热波天之间的中风死亡风险的空间变异性。方法在南京每个镇内,我们计算了热浪期间的行程死亡率(7月30日至2010年8月22日)和参考期(2009年7月30日至8月22日)。我们估计了城市,郊区和农村地区的速率比率(RRS)。空间自相关用于测量热波死亡率的空间模式。 Anselin本地莫兰的I统计数据被应用于识别统计上大量的空间集群。结果热波和参考时期中的中风死亡率在空间上聚集,莫兰的指数为0.147和0.089。在参考期间,在农村地区发现了两种HH斑点(具有高行程死亡率的其他地区的卒中死亡率高的区域),城市和郊区地区的集群并不重要。在郊区发现,在热波期间,农村地区的两个热点仍然存在,而在郊区发现了HL现场(受死亡率低的死亡率高的地区)。在热波期间,中城区的中风死亡率为2.25(95%CI,1.03-4.27),郊区4.14(95%CI,2.77-5.95),1.66(95%CI,1.33- 2.05)在农村地区。结论我们发现南京热浪中的卒中死亡率风险具有清晰的空间模式。在热波期间,郊区地区具有最高和空间聚类的中风死亡风险。这些调查结果揭示了热浪在郊区的健康影响的重要性。

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