首页> 外文会议>Canadian Association of Road Safety Professionals;Canadian multidisciplinary road safety conference >BETWEEN FALSIFICATION AND INTEGRATION: EXPLORING THE EXPLANATORY POWER OF CRIMINOLOGICAL STUDIES OF DRINKING AND DRIVING1
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BETWEEN FALSIFICATION AND INTEGRATION: EXPLORING THE EXPLANATORY POWER OF CRIMINOLOGICAL STUDIES OF DRINKING AND DRIVING1

机译:证伪化与整合化之间:探索犯罪与犯罪学的解释力1

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Several prominent theories have emerged to explain the phenomenon of drinking and driving(DD), yet little is known about whether these theories engage in falsification or integrationapproaches. Further, no methodology has been suggested to address this problem. This twofoldgap prevents us from understanding what social conditions are likely to trigger or avoid DD, andwhat the limits of each theory are. In order to assess whether analyses of DD rely on falsificationor integration, I operationalize the notion of ‘explanatory power’ and apply it to studies carried outin four different countries—Australia, Brazil, Canada, and United States, whereby threecriminological theories—Deterrence theory, Differential association, and Control theory—weretested. Both deterrence theory and control theory were found to be very effective in predicting areduction in alcohol-related crashes and a decreased level of BAC of the drivers. Differentialassociation theory was effective in identifying more precisely the causal mechanism behinddrivers who engaged in DD. In theoretical terms, it seems that a soft integrative approach can bemore effective for explaining DD, since each theory contributes to enlighten different elements ofthis behavior. However, the price of this research strategy could be losing parsimony. Lastly, themethod suggested here was shown to be useful in addressing the falsification/integration tensionwithin this field of research. However, more DD studies need to be analyzed in order to confirm,reject or change these preliminary results.
机译:出现了几种著名的理论来解释酒后驾驶现象 (DD),但对于这些理论是在伪造还是在整合中却鲜为人知 方法。此外,尚未提出解决该问题的方法。这双重 差距使我们无法了解哪些社会条件可能触发或避免DD,并且 每个理论的局限性是什么。为了评估DD分析是否依赖于伪造 或整合,我将“解释力”的概念付诸实践,并将其应用于所进行的研究 在四个不同的国家-澳大利亚,巴西,加拿大和美国,其中三个 犯罪学理论(威慑理论,差异联想和控制理论) 经过测试。威慑理论和控制理论都被认为对预测人类的行为非常有效。 减少与酒精有关的撞车事故,并降低驾驶员的BAC水平。微分 联想理论有效地更准确地确定了背后的因果机制 从事DD的司机。从理论上讲,似乎可以采用一种软整合的方法 因为每种理论都有助于启发DD的不同元素,所以对DD的解释更为有效。 这种行为。但是,这种研究策略的代价可能是丧失简约性。最后, 事实证明,这里建议的方法对于解决伪造/整合张力非常有用。 在这个研究领域内。但是,需要对更多的DD研究进行分析,以确认, 拒绝或更改这些初步结果。

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