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The Application of Data Mining in Electric Short-Term Load Forecasting

机译:数据挖掘在电短期负荷预测中的应用

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Load forecasting is very important for electrical companies since it permits the system operator, the planning, the distribution and the control of the electrical energy supplied to customers. Electric load is affected by many uncertain factors, so many factors should be considered in forecasting process. This paper introduced a new method based on data mining to reflect the influence of weather factor on load. This method constructed model by decision tree and used it to make short-term forecasting. During the construction of decision tree, test attributes were sorted by the principle of maximum information plus which can reduce the complexity of decision tree. Statistical analysis of history data of Tianjin indicates that this method can improve the precision of forecasting and is effective and practical.
机译:由于它允许系统运营商,规划,分配和对客户提供的电能控制,负载预测对电气公司非常重要。电荷受到许多不确定因素的影响,因此应该在预测过程中考虑许多因素。本文介绍了一种基于数据挖掘的新方法,反映了天气系数对负荷的影响。该方法通过决策树构建模型,并使用它来进行短期预测。在决策树的构建过程中,通过最大信息加的原则对测试属性进行排序,这可以降低决策树的复杂性。天津历史数据统计分析表明,该方法可以提高预测的精度,有效实用。

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