Analysis on the Impact of China's Foreign Trade Pattern in the process of the Reduction of Carbon Emission Intensity in China

摘要

This thesis first describe the relevant concept and theory of carbon intensity and pattern of trade, and then analyze the current situation and influencing factor of carbon emission. The essential part of this essay can be divided into two parts. First, we use a theoretical model to analyze the mechanism of the trade within the boundary of one nation, with the restriction of carbon emission and the reduction of the carbon intensity, the cause and effect of one nation, especially the ‘Scale, Structure and technology effects. Second, we establish a series of econometric models, in which we can get a better understanding of the relationship between export and carbon emission, and we can also explain the elements that lead to the structure changes of the international trade of our country. Finally, we use the ‘dual bonus effect’ of carbon taxation to cooperate with the policy of carbon emission right to realize target of optimum emission. We can promote the economic restructuring, while fulfilling the dual target of emission reduction and economic development.