Model of Prediction and Statistics on Time Pattern of Traffic Flow

摘要

Time pattern of traffic flow is one of the important features of vessel traffic flow, and indicates the aggregation and dispersion degree, and reflects the risk of the vessel traffic flow. The model is constructed for doing statistical analysis and prediction to the time pattern of traffic flow by Mathematical statistics and Theory of Forecasting. The prediction model can be used to forecast the future time pattern of traffic flow by parameters of the statistic model. And the time pattern of traffic flow of Tianjin Port is statistically analyzed and forecasted to judge risk of time pattern of traffic flow.