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Hybrid calibration methodology for building energy models coupling sensor data and stochastic modeling

机译:用于构建能源模型耦合传感器数据和随机造型的混合校准方法

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Calibrated detailed energy models are often used to identify economic deep retrofit opportunities in existing buildings. But the uncertainty in building performance makes it technically unrealistic to reach a single “best fit” model without extensive sub-metering and domain experts on the project which is typically labor intensive. To address this problem, researchers have been adopting stochastic modeling as a more reliable approach to calibrate building energy models. A set of all plausible models is found, rather than a best fit model, which accounts for uncertainties in existing building properties and conditions. In addition, sensor data collected from within a building can be used to identify key operational characteristics such as setpoint temperatures, carbon-dioxide levels, light levels, and temperature setbacks. This paper presents a hybrid calibration methodology for building energy models using a combination of short-term wireless sensor data, 15-min interval smart meter data and stochastic modeling. The hybrid approach provides a means to calibrate the operational variables and physical variables separately, reducing potential bias and errors and to reach a set of plausible model solutions. A case study is presented to demonstrate the strength of the calibration methodology.
机译:校准的详细能源模型通常用于识别现有建筑物中的经济深入改造机会。但是,建设性能的不确定性使得在没有广泛的子计量和域专家上的单一“最合适”模型,这是一个完全是劳动密集型的项目。为了解决这个问题,研究人员一直在采用随机建模作为校准建筑能源模型的更可靠的方法。发现了一组所有合理的模型,而不是最适合的拟合模型,其占现有建筑物属性和条件的不确定性。此外,从建筑物内收集的传感器数据可用于识别诸如设定光温度,二氧化碳水平,光水平和温度挫折的关键操作特性。本文介绍了使用短期无线传感器数据,15分钟间隔智能仪表数据和随机造型的组合构建能源模型的混合校准方法。混合方法提供了一种分别校准操作变量和物理变量的方法,减少潜在的偏差和错误,并达到一组合理的模型解决方案。提出了一个案例研究以证明校准方法的强度。

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