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Hybrid calibration methodology for building energy models coupling sensor data and stochastic modeling

机译:结合传感器数据和随机建模的建筑能源模型的混合标定方法

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Calibrated detailed energy models are often used to identify economic deep retrofit opportunities in existing buildings. But the uncertainty in building performance makes it technically unrealistic to reach a single “best fit” model without extensive sub-metering and domain experts on the project which is typically labor intensive. To address this problem, researchers have been adopting stochastic modeling as a more reliable approach to calibrate building energy models. A set of all plausible models is found, rather than a best fit model, which accounts for uncertainties in existing building properties and conditions. In addition, sensor data collected from within a building can be used to identify key operational characteristics such as setpoint temperatures, carbon-dioxide levels, light levels, and temperature setbacks. This paper presents a hybrid calibration methodology for building energy models using a combination of short-term wireless sensor data, 15-min interval smart meter data and stochastic modeling. The hybrid approach provides a means to calibrate the operational variables and physical variables separately, reducing potential bias and errors and to reach a set of plausible model solutions. A case study is presented to demonstrate the strength of the calibration methodology.
机译:经常使用经过校准的详细能源模型来确定现有建筑物的经济深度改造机会。但是建筑性能的不确定性使得在项目上没有通常需要大量人力的项目的大量子计量和领域专家的情况下,达到单个“最佳拟合”模型在技术上是不现实的。为了解决这个问题,研究人员一直在采用随机建模作为校准建筑能耗模型的更可靠方法。找到了一组所有可能的模型,而不是最佳拟合模型,该模型考虑了现有建筑属性和条件的不确定性。此外,从建筑物内部收集的传感器数据可用于识别关键的操作特性,例如设定点温度,二氧化碳水平,光照水平和温度回落。本文提出了一种结合了短期无线传感器数据,15分钟间隔的智能电表数据和随机建模的建筑能源模型混合校准方法。混合方法提供了一种分别校准操作变量和物理变量,减少潜在偏差和误差并达到一组可行的模型解决方案的方法。案例研究表明了校准方法的优势。

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