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FORECASTING HIGH FREQUENCY FINANCIAL DATA: STATISTICAL AND FUZZY LOGIC RBF ANN APPROACH

机译:预测高频财务数据:统计和模糊逻辑RBF神经网络方法

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Forecast accuracy of economic and financial processes is a popular measure for quantifying the risk in multi-criteria decision making. In this paper, we develop forecasting models based on the statistical (stochastic) methods, sometimes called as hard computing, and on the soft methods using granular computing. To illustrate the forecasting performance of these approaches the learning aspects of RBF networks are presented and an application is included. We show a new approach of function estimation for nonlinear time series model by means of a granular fuzzy logic neural network based on Gaussian activation function with cloud concept. In a comparative study is shown that the presented approach is able to model and predict the high frequency data with reasonable accuracy and more efficient than the statistical methods.
机译:经济和金融过程的预测准确性是用于量化多准则决策中风险的一种流行度量。在本文中,我们基于统计(随机)方法(有时称为硬计算)和使用粒度计算的软方法开发预测模型。为了说明这些方法的预测性能,提出了RBF网络的学习方面,并包括了一个应用程序。我们展示了一种基于带有云概念的基于高斯激活函数的粒状模糊逻辑神经网络的非线性时间序列模型的函数估计新方法。在一项比较研究中表明,所提出的方法能够以合理的准确性和比统计方法更有效的方式对高频数据进行建模和预测。

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