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Modeling Speeds and Accidents on Urban Streets

机译:在城市街道上模拟速度和事故

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摘要

This paper presents the main results from modeling relationships between road design, and speed behavior as well as the influence of speed in the occurrence of accidents. In order to describe speed choice of drivers by using parameters of the speed distribution different kinds of classification of free-flow-vehicles were analyzed as well as spatial and temporal aspects of spot speed measurements. Results of multiple regression models for mean speeds and 85-percentiles of the speed distribution are documented and discussed. Road classification, cross section characteristics, land-use and the road surface condition among others are found to be significant parameters that correlate with driving speed. Generalized Linear Models are used to describe the influence of mean speeds on the occurrence of road accidents. This is done for different accident groups under consideration of the annual daily traffic and a parameter that describes the length and type of land-use of the adjacent buildings next to the road section. The relationship between speed and accidents count is described using a power function.
机译:本文介绍了道路设计与速度行为之间的建模关系以及速度对事故发生的影响的主要结果。为了通过使用速度分布的参数来描述驾驶员的速度选择,分析了自由流车辆的不同种类的分类以及现场速度测量的时空方面。记录并讨论了平均速度和速度分布的85%的多元回归模型的结果。道路分类,横断面特性,土地使用和路面状况等都是与行驶速度相关的重要参数。广义线性模型用于描述平均速度对道路事故发生的影响。这是针对不同的事故组进行的,其中要考虑到每年的日交通量以及一个描述路段旁相邻建筑物的土地利用的长度和类型的参数。速度和事故计数之间的关系使用幂函数进行描述。

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