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The Use of Grey Verhulst Model in the Prediction of Operating Activity Cash Flow

机译:灰色Verhulst模型在经营活动现金流量预测中的应用

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In order to make a correct decision on avoiding financial crisis for the enterprise, it is necessary to investigate the trends of net cash flow in the enterprise business activities. In this paper, operating cash flow forecasting model is built on the use of the Gray Verhulst Model as well as the BP Neural Network approach. Empirical analyses prove that the average relative error rate is much less than that using the two methods respectively. What's more, the accuracy and precison of the model are better, which, to some extent, enjoys the application values.
机译:为了对企业避免财务危机做出正确的决策,有必要调查企业经营活动中的现金流量净额趋势。在本文中,经营现金流量预测模型是建立在灰色Verhulst模型以及BP神经网络方法的基础上的。实证分析表明,平均相对误差率远小于两种方法的平均相对误差率。而且,该模型的准确性和精确性更好,在某种程度上享有应用价值。

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