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A CGE Analysis for the Impact of Chinese Aerospace Program on China National Economy

机译:中国航空航天计划对中国国民经济影响的CGE分析

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China is a space power. The Shenzhou manned spaceshipproject and Chang'e lunar exploration project has made remarkableachievements in the world. Investment in aerospace program is tremendous,the Shenzhou manned spaceship project and Chang'e lunar project hasinvested 18.0 billion RMB, and 2.3 billion RMB respectively. The input-outputratio of aerospace investment is alarming, the U.S. Apollo program inputoutputratio is 1:14. Many industries has driven by the aerospace program. Theindustry, such as new material, new energy, telecommunications, equipmentmanufacturing, will benefit from the investment of aerospace program. Thispaper focus on the impact of aerospace program investment on China nationaleconomy and other Industries. We constructed a CGE(Computable GeneralEquilibrium) model, which can describe the macro economy system, cansimulate the impact of aerospace program investment on national economyand other industry. This paper constructed a SAM (Social Accounting Matrix)which based on 2007 China statistics data. The SAM is a base data set forCGE model. The paper simulate the output of industries by the shock ofaerospace program investment. At last, we give policy advice for China.
机译:中国是一个太空大国。神舟载人飞船 项目和Chang娥一号探月项目取得了显著成就 世界成就。航空航天计划的投资巨大, 神舟载人飞船项目和Chang娥一号月球项目有 分别投入180亿元和23亿元。输入输出 航天投资比例令人震惊,美国阿波罗计划投入产出 比例是1:14。许多行业都受到航空航天计划的推动。这 新材料,新能源,电信,设备等行业 制造业,将受益于航空计划的投资。这 论文重点关注航空项目投资对中国国民的影响 经济等行业。我们构造了一个CGE(Computable General 可以描述宏观经济系统的均衡模型 模拟航空航天项目投资对国民经济的影响 等行业。本文构建了一个SAM(社会会计矩阵) 该数据基于2007年中国的统计数据。 SAM是用于 CGE模型。本文通过冲击来模拟产业的产出。 航空航天计划投资。最后,我们为中国提供政策建议。

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