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Personalised Modelling for Multiple Time-Series Data Prediction: A Preliminary Investigation in Asia Pacific Stock Market Indexes Movement

机译:多个时间序列数据预测的个性化建模:亚太股票市场指数运动的初步调查

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The behaviour of multiple stock markets can be described within the framework of complex dynamic systems (CDS). Using a global model with the Kalman Filter we are able to extract the dynamic interaction network (DEM) of these markets. The model was shown to successfully capture interactions between stock markets in the long term. In this study we investigate the effectiveness of two different personalised modelling approaches to multiple stock market prediction. Preliminary results from this study show that the personalised modelling approach when applied to the rate of change of the stock market index is better able to capture recurring trends that tend to occur with stock market data.
机译:可以在复杂动态系统(CDS)的框架内描述多个股票市场的行为。使用带有卡尔曼滤波器的全局模型,我们能够提取这些市场的动态交互网络(DEM)。该模型显示可以长期成功捕捉股票市场之间的互动。在这项研究中,我们调查了两种不同的个性化建模方法对多个股市预测的有效性。这项研究的初步结果表明,将个性化建模方法应用于股票市场指数的变化率,可以更好地捕获股票市场数据中经常出现的重复趋势。

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