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A New Approach to Project Risk Evaluation Based on Intuitionistic Fuzzy Sets

机译:基于直觉模糊集的项目风险评估新方法

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With the rapid development of the science, technology and changes of the social environment, the uncertainties involved in the project management are increasing day and day, which bring more and more risks to the project managers, and the lost caused by these risks is getting higher as well. So project risk evaluation has been an important task in the process of project. In this paper, a new approach to project risk evaluation is presented. Firstly, after having reviewed a large amount of literatures, the concept and operations of intuitionistic fuzzy sets are given. Secondly, based on analyzing the factors of project, the project risk evaluation index system is established. Thirdly, a new approach to project risk evaluation based on intuitionistic fuzzy sets and TOPSIS is developed. Finally, a numerical example is applied to testify the validity of this approach.
机译:随着科学技术的迅猛发展和社会环境的变化,项目管理中涉及的不确定性日益增加,给项目经理带来越来越多的风险,这些风险造成的损失越来越大。也一样因此,项目风险评估一直是项目过程中的重要任务。本文提出了一种新的项目风险评估方法。首先,在回顾了大量文献之后,给出了直觉模糊集的概念和操作。其次,在分析项目影响因素的基础上,建立了项目风险评价指标体系。第三,提出了一种基于直觉模糊集和TOPSIS的项目风险评估新方法。最后,通过数值算例验证了该方法的有效性。

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