Forecasting of automobile development adaptability to road traffic public service supply

摘要

The paper first discussed the development trend of automobile types that are using body of road traffic public service supply. Grey forecasting method of GM(1, 1) of automobile's adaptability to road traffic public service supply was introduced. Based on the analysis of the above, the paper did empirical analysis about grey forecasting method of GM(1, 1) of automobile's adaptability to road traffic public service supply of China with data from 2002 to 2006. Empirical result showed that effect of grey forecasting method is very good with the precision achieved above 90% and the mean accuracy achieved above 96%.