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A Study on Dynamic Modeling for Chinese Resident's Consumption and Investment Decision with Housing

机译:中国居民住房消费与投资决策的动态建模研究

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We solve a realistically calibrated life-cycle model of consumption and portfolio decision for Chinese families with housing and stochastic labor income, and try to find the important factors for resident's consumption and investment decision. Our analysis demonstrates that labor income risk and house price risk crowd out the level of stockholdings because of the increase of protective saving, while down payment ratio reduces stockholdings of resident due to the illiquid home equity restrictions. Our analysis also indicates that, with the increase of house price risk and down payment ratio, non-housing consumption of households is reduced in the early life-cycle, and increased in the latter life-cycle.
机译:我们为住房和随机劳动收入的中国家庭解决了一个经过实际校准的消费和投资组合决策的生命周期模型,并试图找到影响居民消费和投资决策的重要因素。我们的分析表明,由于保护性储蓄的增加,劳动力收入风险和房价风险挤占了持股水平,而首付比例由于住房抵押资产流动性不足而降低了居民持股量。我们的分析还表明,随着房价风险和首付比例的增加,家庭的非住房消费在生命周期的早期减少,而在生命周期的后期则增加。

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