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STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF SAFETY ASSURANCE IN CHINA

机译:中国安全保障发展的统计分析

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One of the main aims of health monitoring and inspection is to safeguard safety production and to prevent or minimize the occurrence of failures and accidents. This paper presents a statistical analysis of the general annual fatality data from all the different accidents that have occurred in China during the past 50 years and correlates the distribution trend with social and economic development. It is found that there are three peaks on the distribution curve attributed to drastic policy change, economic reform and social development. Based upon typical failure cases for different industrial and social sectors, the developing trends of safety assurance in China have been investigated. An intrinsic link and non-symmetrical parabolic relationship between safety assurance and the level of economic and social development has been revealed, and this provides a quantitative model for the optimization of safety assurance development. This paper also contains an analysis of the main factors affecting the safety assurance level, and discusses the relationship between safety assurance statistical analysis and structural integrity assessment study.
机译:健康监测和检查的主要目标之一是保护安全生产,并防止或最大限度地减少故障和事故的发生。本文介绍了在过去50年中在中国发生的所有不同事故的一般年终数据统计分析,并将分布趋势与社会经济发展相关联。有人发现,分布曲线有三个峰值,归因于剧烈的政策变化,经济改革和社会发展。基于不同工业和社会部门的典型故障案例,研究了中国安全保证的发展趋势。已经揭示了安全保障与经济和社会发展水平之间的内在链接和非对称抛物线关系,这为优化安全保障发展提供了定量模型。本文还载有影响安全保障水平的主要因素的分析,并探讨了安全保障统计分析与结构完整性评估研究的关系。

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