POLICY ASSESSMENT FOR UNEMPLOYMENT ABATEMENT IN COLOMBIA

摘要

The economic, social and political crisis that is affecting Colombia during the last 10 yearshas decelerated production with consequences on increasing unemployment levels. Asinvestment and private and public expenditure have decreased enormously, the GrossDomestic Product has grown negative and unemployment has reached the 20% barrier.The circumstances affecting Colombia are a confluence of large levels of violence andguerilla warfare activities, not found in any other country around the world. Under theseconditions, the standard economic models seem inappropriate for assessing employmentpolicies. A plausible alternative is to study the behavior of the relevant variables to theproblem of unemployment in Colombia and their interrelationships by means of SystemDynamics, and grounded on economic theories for development.The work hypotheses are based on the consideration that the economic reactivation coulddecrease the high rates of unemployment and violence, generating a more attractiveenvironment that encourages both national and foreign investment, making possible toreduce the cost of defense and national security to increase the social investment.