首页> 外文会议>ASME international mechanical engineering congress;IMECE'03 >OPTIMAL CAPACITY MANAGEMENT WITH STOCHASTIC MARKET DEMAND AND IMPERFECT INFORMATION
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OPTIMAL CAPACITY MANAGEMENT WITH STOCHASTIC MARKET DEMAND AND IMPERFECT INFORMATION

机译:具有随机市场需求和不完善信息的最优产能管理

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Over-capacity has been a major problem in the world economy over the past decade. Reconfigurable capacity, and optimal capacity management policies, can contribute to increased economic stability. This research introduces a new approach to optimal capacity management for a firm faced with uncertainties and imperfect information of the market demand. It presents an optimal policy for the capacity management problem in a firm facing stochastic market demand, based on Markov decision theory. To make the approach more realistic, it is assumed that the firm has imperfect information of its stochastic market demand, and can only observe its previous sales. Optimal policies are presented as boundaries representing the optimal capacity expansion and reduction levels.
机译:在过去的十年中,产能过剩一直是世界经济中的一个主要问题。可重新配置的容量以及最佳的容量管理策略可以有助于提高经济稳定性。这项研究为面对不确定性和不完善的市场需求信息的公司引入了一种新的最佳容量管理方法。基于马尔可夫决策理论,提出了针对面临随机市场需求的企业的容量管理问题的最优策略。为了使该方法更切合实际,假设公司的随机市场需求信息不完善,并且只能观察其先前的销售情况。最佳策略作为代表最佳容量扩展和减少级别的边界而提出。

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