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Finding Optimal Bayesian Networks

机译:寻找最佳贝叶斯网络

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In this paper, we derive optimality results for greedy Bayesian-network search algorithms that perform single-edge modifications at each step and use asymptotically consistent scoring criteria. Our results extend those of Meek (1997) and Chickering (2002), who demonstrate that in the limit of large datasets, if the generative distribution is perfect with respect to a DAG defined over the observable variables, such search algorithms will identify this optimal (i.e. generative) DAG model. We relax their assumption about, the generative distribution, and assume only that this distribution satisfies the composition property over the observable variables, which is a more realistic assumption for real domains. Under this assumption, we guarantee that the search algorithms identify an inclusion-optimal model; that is, a model that (1) contains the generative distribution and (2) has no sub-model that contains this distribution. In addition, we show that the composition property is guaranteed to hold whenever the dependence relationships in the generative distribution can be characterized by paths between singleton elements in some generative graphical model (e.g. a DAG, a chain graph, or a Markov network) even when the generative model includes unobserved variables, and even when the observed data is subject to selection bias.
机译:在本文中,我们导出了贪婪贝叶斯网络搜索算法的最优结果,该算法在每个步骤执行单边修改并使用渐近一致的评分标准。我们的结果扩展了Meek(1997)和Chickering(2002)的研究结果,他们证明,在大型数据集的范围内,如果生成的分布相对于在可观察变量上定义的DAG而言是完美的,则此类搜索算法将确定该最优值(即生成的)DAG模型。我们放宽他们对生成分布的假设,仅假设该分布满足可观察变量的合成属性,这对于真实域而言是更现实的假设。在此假设下,我们保证搜索算法可以识别包含最优模型;也就是说,模型(1)包含生成的分布,而(2)没有包含此分布的子模型。此外,我们表明,只要可以通过某些生成图形模型(例如DAG,链图或Markov网络)中单例元素之间的路径来表征生成分布中的依赖关系,就可以保证保持合成属性。生成模型包括未观察到的变量,甚至在观察到的数据存在选择偏差时也是如此。

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