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An open-source, stochastic, six-degrees-of-freedom rocket flight simulator, with a probabilistic trajectory analysis approach

机译:开源,随机,六度自由的火箭飞行模拟器,具有概率轨迹分析方法

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Predicting the flight-path of an unguided rocket can help overcome unnecessary risks. Avoiding residential areas or a car-park can improve the safety of launching a rocket significantly. Furthermore, an accurate landing site prediction facilitates recovery. This paper introduces a six-degrees-of-freedom flight simulator for large unguided model rockets that can fly to altitudes of up to 13 km and then return to earth by parachute. The open-source software package assists the user with the design of rockets, and its simulation core models both the rocket flight and the parachute descent in stochastic wind conditions. Furthermore, the uncertainty in the input variables propagates through the model via a Monte Carlo wrapper, simulating a range of possible flight conditions. The resulting trajectories are captured as a Gaussian process, which assists in the statistical assessment of the flight conditions in the face of uncertainties, such as changes in wind conditions, failure to deploy the parachute, and variations in thrust. This approach also facilitates concise presentation of such uncertainties via visualisation of trajectory ensembles.
机译:预测无导力火箭的飞行路径可以帮助克服不必要的风险。避免住宅区或停车场可以显着提高发射火箭的安全性。此外,准确的着陆位点预测有利于恢复。本文介绍了六种自由的飞行模拟器,适用于大型无守模型火箭,可以飞到高达13公里的海拔高度,然后通过降落伞返回地球。开源软件包有助于用户设计火箭的设计,其仿真核心模拟火箭飞行和随机风能的降落伞下降。此外,输入变量中的不确定性通过蒙特卡罗包装器通过模型传播,模拟了一系列可能的飞行条件。由此产生的轨迹被捕获为高斯过程,这有助于面对不确定性的飞行条件的统计评估,例如风力条件的变化,未能部署降落伞,以及推力的变化。这种方法还通过可视化轨迹集合来简明地介绍这种不确定性。

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