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Trends in Airline Passenger Trip Delays (2007): A Multi-Segment Itinerary Analysis

机译:航空公司旅客旅行延误的趋势(2007年):多段行程分析

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The raison d'etre of the Airline Passenger Transportation System (APTS) is the rapid, affordable, and safe transportation of passengers (and cargo). Traditional APTS performance metrics, such as flight delays and cancellation rates, fail to account for the delays to passenger trips caused by cancelled flights, missed connections and diversions. Previous research estimated Passenger Trip Delays statistics for single segment passenger itineraries (i.e. direct itineraries) only. This paper describes the results of analysis of the Passenger Trip Delays for multi-segment itineraries (i.e. direct and connecting itineraries). The results provide a nuanced view of the performance of the APTS, the causes of passenger trip delays, and mitigation strategies.In 2007, 6.8M flights provided service to 299 airports. The network of scheduled flights supported an estimated 51M passenger itineraries. Thirteen percent of the itineraries provided direct service, 87% provided connecting service. Direct itineraries carried an average of 30 passengers, while connecting itineraries carried an average of 4 passengers, resulting in an even split between passengers on direct and connecting itineraries. In terms of performance, 31% of the itineraries were disrupted yielding passenger trip delays totaling 15,841 years. Forty eight percent of the total trip delays were the result of itineraries disrupted by delayed flights, 31% by cancelled flights, 19% by missed connections, and 25% by diverted flights. Connecting itineraries, through hubs or not, were more likely to experience disruptions. The asymmetries in type of itinerary, load factor, and type of disruption provide insights into the inherent structure of the system and explain why a single performance metric cannot incentivize uniform performance improvement. The implications for NextGen and air transportation policy are discussed.
机译:航空公司旅客运输系统(APTS)的存在理由是迅速(可负担得起)安全地运送旅客(和货物)。传统的APTS性能指标(例如航班延误和取消率)无法解决因航班取消,错位的转机和改航而导致的旅客旅行延误。先前的研究仅估计了单段旅客路线(即直接路线)的旅客旅行延误统计信息。本文介绍了针对多段路线(即直接路线和连接路线)的旅客旅行延误的分析结果。结果为APTS的性能,旅客旅行延误的原因和缓解策略提供了细微的视图。2007年,有680万航班向299个机场提供了服务。定期航班网络支持了大约5100万旅客的行程。 13%的行程提供直接服务,87%的提供接驳服务。直航路线平均载客30人,而直航路线则平均载客4人,因此直航路线和直航路线的旅客平均分配。在性能方面,31%的行程被中断,导致旅客旅行延误共15841年。总旅行延误中有48%是由于航班延误,31%的取消航班,19%的错位转机以及25%的改道航班而造成的行程中断。无论是否通过枢纽连接路线,都更容易受到干扰。行程类型,负载因数和中断类型的不对称性提供了对系统固有结构的深入了解,并解释了为什么单个性能指标无法激励统一的性能改进。讨论了对NextGen和航空运输政策的影响。

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